tirsdag 4. september 2012

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Boeing: Asia Is Big Enough For New Narrowbody Rivals
AIN Air Transport Perspective » September 3, 2012



Dinesh Keskar (left) and Lion Air president Rusdi Kirana
 
Indonesian carrier Lion Air emerged as one of several big-spending Asian carriers this year when Boeing Commercial Airplanes vice president of Asia Pacific and India sales Dinesh Keskar (left) and Lion Air president Rusdi Kirana signed a big order for Boeing 737s at February’s Singapore Airshow.
September 3, 2012, 8:30 PM
With leasing companies taking positions on Boeing’s new 737 Max, the Asia-Pacific region holds the key to large narrowbody orders, according to Boeing’s senior vice president of sales for Asia Pacific and India, Dinesh Keskar. “We have three potential customers in India and more in Asia [that can take the Max] on lease or direct buy: Jet Airways, SpiceJet and even Air India Express,” he told AIN. “[The Max] can go 500 additional miles, which will be a big boon for the Asian market.”
Keskar said Boeing’s latest 20-year forecast for India reflects even stronger demand than the numbers from last year’s forecast suggested.
Like its direct rival Airbus, Boeing faces new competitors in the battle to expand the fleets of Asia’s ambitious carriers, mainly in the shape of Japan’s Mitsubishi Regional Jet, China’s Comac C919 twinjet, Russia’s Sukhoi Superjet 100 and Bombardier’s new CSeries. But Keskar insists the Asian market is growing quickly enough to accommodate the expanding group of suppliers. Boeing’s existing global market outlook shows that Asia accounts for 38 percent of all demand by dollar value and 35 percent in terms of aircraft units. “Our base [in Asia] is big,” said the senior Boeing sales executive in the region.
Keskar sees Indonesia as one of the fastest growing markets in Asia. In February this year, existing customer Lion Air ordered an additional 230 Boeing 737s, including 201 Maxs; twenty-nine 737-900ERs account for the remainder. Flag carrier Garuda plans to take delivery of four Boeing 777 widebodies next year.
Unfortunately, a worsening shortage of pilots and mechanics in the region has already forced some airlines to delay expansion plans and others to go as far as to cancel service and ground airplanes. The situation will only worsen if demand for air travel grows as rapidly as Boeing expects over the next two decades.
The 2012 Boeing Pilot & Technician Outlook, issued during July’s Farnborough International airshow, predicts a need for 185,600 new pilots and 243,500 new technicians in the Asia-Pacific region through 2030. According to the report, China alone needs 71,300 pilots and 99,400 technicians over the next 20 years, accounting for the largest demand in the region.

Elsewhere, Japan Airlines (JAL) appears in the midst of a remarkable turnaround since its January 2010 bankruptcy filing. On August 30 the group announced plans to raise up to $8.4 billion through an initial public offering that would see it relisted on the Tokyo stock exchange from September 19. For the financial year ending March 31, 2012, JAL achieved an operating profit of 12.2 percent. The results follow a fundamental restructuring from early 2010 that saw it reshape its route network, restructure its fleet and cut its workforce. In July it launched Jetstar Japan as a new low-cost carrier in partnership with Australia’s Qantas.

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